Bitter Battle Over Kavanaugh Adds Fuel to Midterm Showdown

Aaron Brown
October 14, 2018

Democrats counter that the Kavanaugh fallout has enraged many women voters upset with the way the Senate confirmation battle turned out, likely increasing Democratic turnout in November and threatening Republican control of the House of Representatives.

It all started with the retirement of Supreme Court judge Anthony Kennedy, a liberal conservative and the so-called swing vote.

Another Republican who believes the landscape is improving for his party agrees that the House will flip because there are simply too many strong, well-funded Democratic challengers in upscale districts.

"On behalf of our nation, I want to apologize to Brett and the entire Kavanaugh family for the awful pain and suffering you have been forced to endure", he said at the ceremony in the ornate White House East Room.

Although resistance to Kavanaugh's nomination dramatically intensified during the confirmation process as multiple came forward to accuse him of sex misconduct, Democratic Sen. Among nonwhite registered voters, 72 percent are now certain to vote, up from 48 percent in Post-ABC polling in October 2014. And Democratic activists were not pleased. If a party successfully packs the Court (as FDR tried to do during the New Deal), such an act would likely lead to yet more packing the next time that the other party controlled the White House and Congress. Women as a whole support an investigation 58 percent to 37 percent, while men are almost evenly split on that matter, with 47 percent supporting an investigation and 49 percent opposing it. The margin of sampling error for both the results overall and the sample registered voters of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

"The biggest challenge is the separating of what's happening in Washington, D.C. from Washington state", she said. America now waits, to see what changes Kavanaugh will make to the shape of its society, be they good, or as many fear, detrimental.

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FILE - President Donald Trump arrives to speak at a campaign rally at the Landers Center Arena, Oct. 2, 2018, in Southaven, Miss. It's hard to see how the GOP's short-term play to drum up support in the midterm elections could be worth it.

Support for a further congressional investigation, as noted, is 11 points higher among women than men, 58 vs. 47 percent, and women are 16 points more apt to back it strongly, 49 vs. 33 percent. She may be the most vulnerable Democrat running.

That increase in overall approval has not translated into similar Republican gains on the generic ballot because a record 90 percent of those who say they disapprove of the president now say they are supporting Democratic House candidates, up from 83 percent in August.

Polls show Republicans leading in Senate races in Texas, Tennessee and North Dakota, where incumbent Democrat Heidi Heitkamp is trying to hold on in a state that went heavily for Trump in 2016. Fox News says the DC Circuit did have the option of "dismissing them out of hand" if it so chose.

To prevent such a tit-for-tat escalation, I propose that Congress should immediately pass and submit to the states for ratification a constitutional amendment to prevent increasing the size of the Supreme Court (and to undo any packing that happens before ratification).

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